Russia’s 2026 Harvest: Steady National Progress, Sharply Divided Regional Outcomes

According to the Ministry of Agriculture, as of September 7, Russia’s open-field vegetable harvest is proceeding at last year’s pace, with about 1.6 million tonnes collected. The ministry notes that the threshold for potato self-sufficiency has already been reached, while wholesale prices have begun their seasonal decline — falling 12.3% over the past month to 26.3 rubles per kilogram for producers. These figures suggest a generally stable national picture, with supply meeting key targets and downward pressure on prices at the wholesale level.

However, the regional picture varies dramatically. In Novosibirsk Oblast, abnormal heat has cut the late-variety harvest to roughly one-third of last year’s level, and farmers expect retail prices to rise to as much as 80 rubles per kilogram by late autumn. By contrast, Bryansk Oblast anticipates a record harvest, with one farm alone planning to collect up to 36,000 tonnes — 30% more than last year. This divergence highlights how localized weather extremes can override otherwise positive national trends, creating uneven price and supply conditions across the country.