Nikolai Leshik, Head of the Crop Production Department at the Ministry of Agriculture, announced that Belarus aims to harvest 11 million tons of grain, including rapeseed. This target aligns with recent trends—in 2023, Belarus produced 10.4 million tons of grain, according to the National Statistical Committee. However, extreme weather, such as droughts in key regions, could challenge this goal.
Globally, the International Grains Council (IGC) forecasts a slight decline in wheat production due to El Niño effects, which may increase demand for Belarusian grain exports. If weather conditions remain favorable, Belarus could meet its target and strengthen its position in the grain market.
Potatoes and Vegetables: Stable Supply for Domestic Needs
The ministry has set a goal of 1 million tons of potatoes and 300,000 tons of vegetables from agricultural enterprises. Belarus has historically been self-sufficient in potato production, with 2023 yields reaching 950,000 tons. However, small-scale farms still dominate this sector, meaning large-scale agricultural enterprises must increase efficiency to meet the state’s target.
Sugar Beet: Maintaining Export and Domestic Supply
Belarus plans to produce 5.1 million tons of sugar beet to support its four sugar refineries and maintain export levels. In 2023, the country processed 4.8 million tons, indicating a slight year-on-year increase. The European Association of Sugar Producers (CEFS) reports stable sugar prices, which could incentivize higher production. However, labor shortages and high input costs remain key challenges.
Balancing Ambition and Reality
While Belarus has set robust agricultural targets for 2024, success will depend on weather stability, global market trends, and efficient resource management. If achieved, these figures will ensure food security, stable exports, and affordable prices for consumers. Farmers and agronomists must remain adaptive to overcome potential hurdles in the coming months.
