This season, potato prices in Russia have shocked consumers, reaching 100 rubles per kilogram ($1.10/kg)—a steep increase for a staple once considered the cheapest food item. While officials blame reduced backyard farming, smallholders argue that selling their surplus is neither practical nor profitable.

The Surplus Dilemma: “We Just Throw It Away”

Many small farmers grow more potatoes than they consume but see no benefit in selling the excess.

  • Ignat, a gardener from Tula, plants potatoes on 0.02–0.04 hectares (200–400 m²), yielding 400 kg per season. His family consumes only 150 kg, discarding the rest.
  • Arseny, a beekeeper and nutria farmer, uses 0.04 hectares (400 m²) but feeds most of his harvest to livestock, unaware of market prices until recently.

Despite high retail prices, smallholders face three key barriers to commercialization:

  1. Low Profitability – Selling small quantities isn’t worth the effort. Farmers would need to scale up significantly to make a profit, but:
    • Market fees cut into earnings.
    • Wholesale buyers demand tons, not kilos.
    • Labor costs (planting, harvesting, transporting) make small sales unviable.
  2. Rising Input & Machinery Costs
    • Tractor services have surged to 50,000 rubles ($550) per hectare due to fuel and parts inflation.
    • Soil quality issues (high acidity) require costly amendments like lime or mustard green manure, adding 10,000+ rubles ($110+) per plot.
  3. Distrust of Commercial Farming Practices
    • Many smallholders avoid chemicals, fearing store-bought-quality potatoes.
    • Ignat notes: “If you use chemicals, you might as well buy from the supermarket.”

Will Prices Drop Soon?

Some farmers predict a price correction (30–60 rubles/kg) once the new harvest arrives. However, long-term trends suggest structural issues:

  • Declining small-scale production (fewer people grow potatoes as a side hustle).
  • Labor and machinery shortages (fewer tractors, expensive repairs).
  • Retail monopolies keeping prices high despite local surpluses.

A Broken System

The potato crisis highlights a disconnect between small farmers’ capabilities and market realities. Without better infrastructure, fair pricing, and incentives, surplus potatoes will keep rotting in cellars instead of reaching consumers.

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T.G. Lynn