Kazakhstan has experienced severe potato price fluctuations in 2025, with retail prices peaking at 500 KZT/kg in January—a 79% year-on-year increase38. The surge was driven by:

  • Increased exports: In 2024, Kazakhstan exported 605,000 tons of potatoes, a 1.5x jump from 2023 (411,000 tons)413.
  • Reduced domestic supply: Storage losses and quality deterioration during off-seasons worsened shortages6.
  • Shift in import sources: Traditionally reliant on Russia, Kazakhstan now imports 58% from China and 35% from Pakistan due to Russia and Belarus’ crop failures38.

Government Interventions

To stabilize prices, authorities implemented several measures:

  1. Six-month export ban (since January 28, 2025), except to Eurasian Economic Union members47.
  2. Massive imports52,600 tons in April 2025 alone—8.5x higher than April 2024—totaling 98,200 tons in Q1 202538.
  3. Direct farmer sales: Over 1,500 local agricultural fairs to cut middlemen margins6.
  4. Price controls: Penalties for excessive markups beyond 15%14.

Agricultural Adjustments

To reduce future dependency on imports, Kazakhstan is expanding potato cultivation:

  • 2025 planting area83,400 hectares, up 11,300 hectares from 2024, with plans to reach 125,000 hectares56.
  • Crop diversification: Reduced wheat acreage (-18,700 ha) in favor of oilseeds, feed crops, and vegetables5.

Kazakhstan’s potato market instability highlights the risks of over-reliance on exports and insufficient storage infrastructure. While emergency imports from China and Pakistan have eased shortages, long-term solutions require modernized farming practices, better storage, and stricter inventory monitoring. Farmers and policymakers must collaborate to ensure sustainable production and price stability.

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T.G. Lynn