Europe, and France in particular, is grappling with a severe potato overproduction crisis, driven by a perfect storm of favorable weather, overzealous expansion of farmland, and a sudden slowdown in industrial demand. Following a bumper 2025 harvest, the four major producers in the Northwestern European Potato Growers (NEPG) region—Germany, France, Belgium, and the Netherlands—are set to collect nearly 30 million tons, a 10% increase from the previous year. This surge has led to a dramatic price collapse, forcing desperate farmers to take drastic action. In mid-January, protesters dumped a mountain of potatoes in front of the French National Assembly, while other growers, like one in Monchy-le-Preux near Arras, have resorted to giving away 70 tons of produce to local residents simply to avoid throwing it away, as supply now massively outstrips demand.
The crisis is primarily centered on potatoes destined for industrial processing, such as those used for frozen fries and flakes. While global consumption of processed potato products has been rising, production has accelerated at an even faster pace. This imbalance is exacerbated by a saturated European market, where per capita consumption remains stable at 52 kg per year. Furthermore, European exporters are facing stiff competition from emerging giants like China, India, Egypt, and Turkey, which have dramatically increased their frozen fry exports. The situation is compounded by strong Euro headwinds and new US tariffs. Paradoxically, new processing plants are still under construction in France, with experts noting that 2025’s output has already reached volumes projected for 2030. This has created a temporary but painful cyclical crisis, leaving un-contracted farmers with mountains of unsold stock and plummeting prices, bearing the brunt of the market correction.
