The launch of a domestic french fry industry in Russia represents one of the most ambitious agricultural import substitution projects in recent years. The catalyst was the 2022 arrival of the fast-food chain “Vkusno i Tochka,” which immediately faced a stark reality: Russia lacked the specialized potato varieties and the integrated supply chain to produce frozen fries. In response, agri-holding “Miratorg” has embarked on a vertically integrated project, investing 4.5 billion RUB in two initial complexes: a selection and seed center with storage in the Oryol region and a commercial potato farm in Bryansk. These facilities, with a combined production capacity of ~140,000 tonnes, are designed to supply a planned processing plant, “Grandfries,” with an annual capacity of 120,000 tonnes.

However, the project’s timeline has been a lesson in agricultural realities. The completion date for the “Grandfries” plant has been pushed back to the second half of 2026, and its budget has ballooned from 12 billion to 19 billion RUB. The core challenge is not just capital investment but a fundamental deficit in the agricultural base: a lack of both specialized frying potato varieties and the high-quality seed material to grow them.

This shortage highlights a critical dependency. According to a 2023 USDA Gain Report on the Russian potato sector, approximately 70% of Russia’s certified seed potato is imported. The varieties required for frying—those with long storage potential, low sugar content, and specific shape—are predominantly foreign-bred. Miratorg has been forced to build its seed pipeline from the ground up, a process that cannot be rushed. The company began with micropropagation in a Kaliningrad lab in 2023, progressed to greenhouse mini-tubers in 2024, and will only achieve the first generation of super-elite seeds by 2026. The plan is to produce 15,000 tonnes of original and elite seeds on 350 hectares by 2028, capturing about 2% of the domestic seed market.

Miratorg is not alone in this race. In Kaliningrad, the “Atlantis” group is constructing a rival fry plant with a capacity of 105,000 tonnes per year and building storage for 210,000 tonnes. While Atlantis is also growing super-elite seed, it has not yet ventured into its own breeding, indicating a continued reliance on imported genetics. This parallel development underscores the significant market opportunity but also the immense technical hurdles that remain.

The Russian french fry project is a case study in the complexity of agricultural import substitution. It demonstrates that building a processing industry requires more than just building factories; it demands a foundational investment in plant science, seed systems, and agronomic expertise. The success of these ventures hinges on closing the “seed gap.” For agronomists and farm owners globally, it’s a powerful reminder that control over the first link in the supply chain—genetics—is the ultimate key to food sovereignty and value-added production. The journey from a petri dish to a perfect fry is a long and costly one, but it is essential for capturing the full value of a crop.

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T.G. Lynn